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CHEMICAL OUTLOOK: ENERGY, ECONOMIC
AND SOCIETAL IMPACTS ON CHEMICAL PROSPECTS
Monthly report identifies and analyzes the most important external and strategic factors affecting the U.S. and global chemical industry, ranging from economic developments in Asia, to changes in energy pricing, to new government policies, to mergers and acquisitions. Highly readable and concise. Data tables with economic data affecting chemicals and U.S.G.C. transaction prices for the major feedstocks, chemicals and polymers. Eight (8) pages per issue. Cost: $1,250/yr for an individual subscription. An electronic, PDF or IP Authorized, version can be licensed for company-wide distribution for an additional fee.
Contact:
Frederick M. Peterson, Ph.D.
Probe Economics, Inc.
P.O. Box 440
New London, NH 03257 U.S.A.
Phone: (603) 526-4498
E-mail: fred@probeeconomics.com
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Tables of Contents from Past Issues
August 31, 2004
| U.S. economy slowed by uncertainties. | (Page 1) |
| Chemical profits to improve. | (Page 4) |
| Probe contained trade model extended to synthetic rubber. | (Page 5) |
| Probe's latest forecasts to 2009. | (Page 6) |
| Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators: More Cooling. | (Page 7) |
| Energy and chemical prices: Mostly Increasing. | (Page 8) |
June 30, 2004
| Boston Consulting Group urges accelerated "offshoring." | (Page 1) |
| Probe's latest study on China says "take it easy, think it through." | (Page 2) |
| What can China consume, and when? | (Page 5) |
| U.S. economy is doing just fine. | (Page 6) |
| Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators: Worldwide Growth | (Page 7) |
| Energy and chemical prices: Rising | (Page 8) |
January 31, 2004
| Results of new quantitative study: only a few sectors are buying more chemicals -- so far. | (Page 1) |
| Despite all the problems, 2004-2005 should be good years for chemicals. | (Page 6) |
| Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators: U.S. Heating Up. | (Page 7) | |
Chlor-alkali starts to fade. | (Page 8) |
| Chemical prices start to firm: polyethylene, ammonia and sulfur. | (Page 8) |
September 30, 2001
| Terrorist attack nudges U.S. toward recession. | (Page 1) |
| Security needs will raise costs for everyone. | (Page 3) |
| Other economies are in just as much trouble. | (Page 3) |
| Chemical earnings impact will be limited. | (Page 4) |
| Focus on building and construction. | (Page 5) |
| Chemical and polymer prices fall. | (Page 6) |
| Chlor-alkali remains sick. | (Page 6) |
| Table 1: Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators. | (Page 7) |
| Table 2: Energy and Chemical Prices. | (Page 8) |
April 30, 2001
| Asian economies are slowed by weak exports to the United States | (Page 1) |
| U.S. economy may not experience a recession after all. | (Page 2) |
| Japan vacillates on reforms. | (Page 3) |
| China’s new leadership, and conflicts with Japan and the United States. | (Page 4) |
| Southeast Asian money dries up. | (Page 5) |
| Asia chemical trade – self sufficient, except for China. | (Page 5) |
| Asian ethylene feedstocks move towards natural gas. | (Page 6) |
| Purity of U.S. free markets questioned in Asia. | (Page 6) |
| How Asian chemical prices are set. | (Page 8) |
| Table 1: Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators. | (Page 9) |
| Table 2: Energy and Chemical Prices. | (Page 10) |
February 28, 2001
| Free sailing is over for the economy. | (Page 1) |
| Capital spending heads for downturn. Info Tech is not immune. | (Page 3) |
| A primer on how recessions affect chemicals. | (Page 4) |
| Effect on ROIs will not be as great as one would expect. | (Page 6) |
| Chemical earnings per share forecasted. | (Page 7) |
| U.S. and Canada do a lot more drilling. Payoff is not apparent yet. | (Page 8) |
| Table 1: Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators. | (Page 9) |
| Table 2: Energy and Chemical Prices. | (Page 10) |
January 31, 2001
| Greenspan may smack the runway. | (Page 1) |
| Chemicals are sitting in a bad seat. | (Page 2) |
| Japan’s problems aren’t over. | (Page 3) |
| Processors feel the most hurt in the plastics value chain. |
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| California electricity problems spell trouble for other deregulation programs. | (Page 8) |
| U.S. oil and gas supply are on the rise. | (Page 8) |
| Table 1: Economic and Chemical Industry Indicators. | (Page 9) |
| Table 2: Energy and Chemical Prices. | (Page 10) |
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